HitRecruitingTransfer portalSample
Late portal movement reveals the depth chart
The prediction
Late-cycle portal departures will cluster at the position group that received the most additions.
Thesis
Additions push incumbents out; the departures are the receipt.
Supporting evidence
- Addition clustering
Countercase
Departures are driven by playing time promises made long before the additions.
How it resolved
Hit
Departures clustered as predicted.
Resolved Aug 6, 2026, 1:00 PM